Stephens Issues Pessimistic Forecast for Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) Stock Price

Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) had its target price dropped by analysts at Stephens from $53.00 to $43.00 in a research report issued on Wednesday,MarketScreener reports. The firm currently has an “equal weight” rating on the specialty retailer’s stock. Stephens’ price target suggests a potential upside of 16.70% from the company’s previous close.

Several other equities research analysts have also recently issued reports on TSCO. Robert W. Baird set a $60.00 price objective on Tractor Supply and gave the stock an “outperform” rating in a report on Friday, April 17th. Wall Street Zen downgraded Tractor Supply from a “hold” rating to a “sell” rating in a research note on Saturday, February 21st. Zacks Research raised Tractor Supply from a “strong sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a research note on Monday. Morgan Stanley reduced their price objective on Tractor Supply from $57.00 to $45.00 and set an “equal weight” rating for the company in a research note on Wednesday. Finally, DA Davidson reduced their price objective on Tractor Supply from $60.00 to $50.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research note on Wednesday. Fifteen analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and thirteen have given a Hold rating to the company. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, Tractor Supply presently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus price target of $49.08.

Tractor Supply Price Performance

Shares of TSCO stock traded down $1.32 during trading hours on Wednesday, hitting $36.85. 7,232,407 shares of the company’s stock were exchanged, compared to its average volume of 7,320,823. The company has a quick ratio of 0.16, a current ratio of 1.38 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.86. Tractor Supply has a fifty-two week low of $36.86 and a fifty-two week high of $63.99. The firm has a market cap of $19.38 billion, a P/E ratio of 18.06, a P/E/G ratio of 2.09 and a beta of 0.75. The firm has a 50 day moving average of $47.59 and a two-hundred day moving average of $51.34.

Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) last posted its quarterly earnings data on Tuesday, April 21st. The specialty retailer reported $0.31 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $0.35 by ($0.04). Tractor Supply had a return on equity of 42.58% and a net margin of 6.91%.The firm had revenue of $3.59 billion during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $3.64 billion. During the same quarter in the previous year, the firm posted $0.34 earnings per share. The company’s quarterly revenue was up 3.6% on a year-over-year basis. Tractor Supply has set its FY 2026 guidance at 2.130-2.230 EPS. Sell-side analysts forecast that Tractor Supply will post 2.17 EPS for the current year.

Insiders Place Their Bets

In other Tractor Supply news, EVP Colin Yankee sold 11,170 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction on Friday, February 13th. The stock was sold at an average price of $55.35, for a total value of $618,259.50. Following the completion of the sale, the executive vice president directly owned 45,515 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $2,519,255.25. This trade represents a 19.71% decrease in their position. The sale was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available through this hyperlink. Also, CEO Harry A. Lawton III sold 84,670 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction on Tuesday, February 3rd. The stock was sold at an average price of $53.16, for a total value of $4,501,057.20. Following the completion of the sale, the chief executive officer directly owned 606,842 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $32,259,720.72. This trade represents a 12.24% decrease in their ownership of the stock. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. Over the last ninety days, insiders sold 222,348 shares of company stock worth $11,959,621. 0.64% of the stock is currently owned by company insiders.

Institutional Trading of Tractor Supply

Hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently modified their holdings of the stock. JPL Wealth Management LLC acquired a new stake in shares of Tractor Supply in the 3rd quarter worth $28,000. Garner Asset Management Corp acquired a new stake in shares of Tractor Supply in the 4th quarter worth $25,000. Reflection Asset Management acquired a new stake in shares of Tractor Supply in the 4th quarter worth $26,000. Core Wealth Advisors LLC acquired a new stake in shares of Tractor Supply in the 4th quarter worth $27,000. Finally, Aventura Private Wealth LLC acquired a new stake in shares of Tractor Supply in the 4th quarter worth $27,000. 98.72% of the stock is owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.

Key Tractor Supply News

Here are the key news stories impacting Tractor Supply this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Reaffirmed guidance, store growth and digital momentum: Q1 results showed net sales up 3.6% driven by 40 new stores and double‑digit digital growth; management kept FY 2026 guidance intact, which limits near‑term downside risk. Earnings Highlights
• Positive Sentiment: Income/contrarian angle: the stock’s drop has pushed yield higher and some retail commentary calls the name “oversold,” supporting a potential value/dividend trade for income investors. Fool: Dividend Opportunity
• Positive Sentiment: Some brokers still maintain bullish stances (Citigroup retained a buy rating despite cutting its target; DA Davidson has also kept a buy-oriented view even after lowering its target), indicating pockets of analyst support for upside—though targets were trimmed. (Benzinga coverage)
• Neutral Sentiment: Valuation comparison: analyses comparing Tractor Supply to peers like Petco (WOOF) suggest mixed signals on which is the better value right now—useful background but not a direct catalyst. Zacks: WOOF vs TSCO
• Negative Sentiment: Q1 miss and flat comps sparked the selloff: EPS and revenue both missed Street expectations and same‑store sales were essentially flat, the primary immediate driver of the decline. Why TSCO Is Down
• Negative Sentiment: Multiple analyst downgrades/target cuts: several large brokers trimmed price targets or lowered expectations (UBS, Mizuho, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Telsey, Piper Sandler, DA Davidson among others), increasing selling pressure and reducing near‑term upside consensus. Examples: UBS Pessimistic Mizuho Lowers Expectations Morgan Stanley Forecast
• Negative Sentiment: Technical/market reaction: the post‑earnings move set a new 52‑week low and triggered further momentum selling, amplifying the price decline. New 1-Year Low

Tractor Supply Company Profile

Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ: TSCO) is a specialty retailer focused on products for the home, farm, ranch and outdoors. The company operates a network of physical retail locations complemented by an e-commerce platform, offering a one-stop source of supplies and equipment for customers with rural and suburban lifestyles. Its merchandise assortment targets a range of needs, from animal and livestock care to maintenance, outdoor power equipment, and seasonal products.

Product categories include animal feed and supplies, pet products, fencing and fencing supplies, equine equipment, lawn and garden tools, work clothing and footwear, and small agricultural and outdoor power equipment.