Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) Issues Earnings Results

Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) released its quarterly earnings results on Thursday. The company reported ($0.21) earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of ($0.09) by ($0.12), FiscalAI reports. The business had revenue of $187.95 million for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $170.60 million. Genius Sports had a negative net margin of 22.26% and a negative return on equity of 20.15%. Genius Sports’s revenue was up 30.5% on a year-over-year basis. During the same period in the previous year, the business posted ($0.03) EPS.

Here are the key takeaways from Genius Sports’ conference call:

• Legend acquisition closed; integration is underway and management says the deal is immediately margin‑accretive, raising 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin guidance from 23% to 28% and pulling long‑term margin targets forward by two years.
• Q1 showed broad-based strength with group revenue up 31%, adjusted EBITDA up 21%, betting +33% and media +22%, supported by 120%–130% net revenue retention and a geographically diversified customer base.
• The newly launched Moment Engine has rapid commercial traction (integrated with ~90% of the programmatic ecosystem, ~70 new advertisers) and early high‑yield advertiser wins (e.g., Samsung increased spend 220%), which management expects to drive high‑margin media revenue over time.
• Management highlighted a meaningful early opportunity in prediction markets—onboarding market makers to its low‑latency feeds and expecting incremental data and ad demand—but noted the regulatory framework is evolving and most upside is not yet included in guidance.
• Guidance and financing: full‑year 2026 revenue of $990M–$1.01B and adjusted EBITDA of $270M–$280M (Q2 ~ $185M revenue / $45M adj EBITDA); the company closed an $825M Term Loan A at SOFR+350bp with conservative sizing, expects a seasonal Q2 cash low point and ~ $100M of cash generation in H2 (50%–55% conversion), and targets improved FCF conversion into 2027–2028.

Genius Sports Price Performance

Shares of NYSE GENI opened at $4.39 on Friday. The stock has a market capitalization of $1.08 billion, a P/E ratio of -7.20 and a beta of 1.80. The company has a 50-day moving average price of $4.83 and a 200-day moving average price of $8.00. Genius Sports has a 1 year low of $3.83 and a 1 year high of $13.73.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

A number of hedge funds have recently made changes to their positions in the business. Wellington Management Group LLP boosted its holdings in Genius Sports by 17.9% during the third quarter. Wellington Management Group LLP now owns 13,513,537 shares of the company’s stock worth $167,298,000 after purchasing an additional 2,051,503 shares during the last quarter. Senvest Management LLC raised its position in Genius Sports by 13.7% in the fourth quarter. Senvest Management LLC now owns 9,410,567 shares of the company’s stock worth $103,704,000 after acquiring an additional 1,135,577 shares during the period. Invesco Ltd. raised its position in Genius Sports by 50.6% in the third quarter. Invesco Ltd. now owns 4,957,261 shares of the company’s stock worth $61,371,000 after acquiring an additional 1,665,626 shares during the period. The Manufacturers Life Insurance Company raised its position in Genius Sports by 4.9% in the fourth quarter. The Manufacturers Life Insurance Company now owns 3,782,506 shares of the company’s stock worth $41,683,000 after acquiring an additional 176,184 shares during the period. Finally, Ophir Asset Management Pty Ltd raised its position in Genius Sports by 28.9% in the fourth quarter. Ophir Asset Management Pty Ltd now owns 3,771,695 shares of the company’s stock worth $41,564,000 after acquiring an additional 844,661 shares during the period. 81.91% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.

Wall Street Analyst Weigh In

Several equities analysts have recently issued reports on the stock. BTIG Research dropped their price target on shares of Genius Sports from $10.00 to $9.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research note on Thursday. Wall Street Zen cut shares of Genius Sports from a “hold” rating to a “sell” rating in a report on Saturday, May 2nd. Guggenheim reduced their price target on shares of Genius Sports from $17.00 to $12.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a report on Friday, February 6th. B. Riley Financial restated a “buy” rating on shares of Genius Sports in a report on Friday. Finally, Roth Mkm set a $10.00 price target on shares of Genius Sports in a report on Friday. Three research analysts have rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, thirteen have given a Buy rating, two have given a Hold rating and one has given a Sell rating to the company’s stock. According to data from MarketBeat, Genius Sports presently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average target price of $11.78.

More Genius Sports News

Here are the key news stories impacting Genius Sports this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Several analysts still see significant upside in Genius Sports, even after trimming price targets: Citi cut its target to $8, BTIG to $9, and Needham to $10, all while maintaining buy ratings. That suggests analysts still view the recent selloff as overdone relative to the company’s long-term potential.
• Positive Sentiment: Genius Sports raised its outlook and highlighted growth tied to prediction markets, which could become an additional revenue tailwind if that trend continues. Genius Sports Touts Prediction Market Growth, Raises Outlook
• Positive Sentiment: Investor interest is also being supported by bullish coverage framing Genius Sports as a beneficiary of the broader prediction-market boom, reinforcing the stock’s longer-term growth narrative. Kalshi vs. Polymarket? This Small-Cap Sports Data Stock Is the Surefire Winner Either Way.
• Neutral Sentiment: The company reported first-quarter revenue of $187.95 million, above expectations and up 30.5% year over year, but earnings missed estimates at a loss of $0.21 per share versus the expected $0.09 loss. The revenue beat is constructive, but the earnings miss likely kept sentiment mixed. Genius Sports quarterly earnings report

Genius Sports Company Profile

Genius Sports is a global sports technology company that specializes in collecting, analyzing and distributing real-time sports data and video streams. The firm provides official data feeds, live video streaming solutions and digital engagement tools to sports leagues, federations, broadcasters and betting operators. By integrating data directly from sporting events through its network of field officials and proprietary technology, Genius Sports ensures accuracy and integrity for partners who rely on up-to-the-second information.

The company’s product suite includes a cloud-based platform for data capture and distribution, an integrity services offering designed to identify and mitigate match-fixing risks, and a suite of commercial products that power odds creation, in-game betting markets and fan engagement experiences.