Gevo (NASDAQ:GEVO – Get Free Report) announced its quarterly earnings data on Thursday. The energy company reported ($0.01) earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of ($0.02) by $0.01, FiscalAI reports. Gevo had a negative return on equity of 5.83% and a negative net margin of 119.93%.The company had revenue of $46.50 million for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $46.40 million.
Here are the key takeaways from Gevo’s conference call:
- Gevo more than doubled its 2026 adjusted EBITDA outlook to above $60 million, supported by Canada’s Clean Fuel Regulation credits, higher 45Z tax-credit monetization, fuel sales, and cost efficiencies. The company expects neutral-to-positive full-year operating cash flow and meaningful positive cash flow in the second half.
- Canada approved Gevo’s low-carbon ethanol pathway with carbon capture and storage, opening access to a compliance market of more than 1 billion gallons annually. Gevo expects to recognize sales of approximately 17 million banked credits in the third quarter and sees its carbon business reaching a run rate above $30 million in annual revenue, excluding those sales.
- The Gevo North Dakota debottlenecking project remains on schedule and budget to raise low-carbon ethanol capacity to 75 million gallons per year by year-end 2026. A larger expansion to approximately 150 million gallons per year is targeted for completion in 2028, with financing expected in the second half of 2026 and a non-dilutive, project-level structure under discussion.
- Gevo formally exited its South Dakota ATJ-60 project and recorded a $176 million non-cash impairment charge, producing a GAAP net loss of $177 million, or $0.75 per share. Management said the charge does not affect liquidity or operating cash flow, but operating expenses excluding the impairment rose 18% year over year.
- The $600 million ATJ-30/Project Northstar estimate remains within the expected range, but securing bankable, multi-year offtake agreements is still required before a final investment decision. Gevo continues to target FID by year-end while pursuing project-level lenders and equity providers.
Gevo Stock Performance
NASDAQ GEVO traded up $0.13 on Friday, reaching $1.57. The stock had a trading volume of 5,080,811 shares, compared to its average volume of 3,864,908. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.37, a current ratio of 4.31 and a quick ratio of 3.51. The company has a market cap of $382.15 million, a P/E ratio of -1.76 and a beta of 1.04. The firm has a fifty day moving average of $1.53 and a two-hundred day moving average of $1.83. Gevo has a 1-year low of $1.15 and a 1-year high of $2.97.
More Gevo News
- Positive Sentiment: Gevo projects more than $60 million in adjusted EBITDA for 2026, representing a significant increase in its earnings outlook. Management also plans to exit the South Dakota ATJ-60 facility and scale its North Dakota operation toward 75 million gallons of annual capacity by the end of 2026, supporting the company’s longer-term production and profitability goals. Gevo projects 2026 adjusted EBITDA of more than $60 million
- Positive Sentiment: Second-quarter revenue reached $46.5 million, slightly exceeding expectations, while the quarterly loss of $0.01 per share was better than the anticipated $0.02 loss. The results and higher full-year expectations helped drive the positive investor reaction. Gevo Reports Second Quarter Results and Raises Financial Expectations
- Neutral Sentiment: Gevo’s outlook upgrade is being weighed against continued execution and cash-flow risks. Third-party figures cited a roughly $177 million net loss, a $171.7 million operating loss, and $58.1 million in cash at quarter-end, although liabilities declined and operating cash use was $8.3 million. Gevo Stock Rises on Q2 2026 Earnings
- Negative Sentiment: Several insiders, including the CEO, CFO and director Patrick Gruber, sold shares totaling approximately $466,000. The transactions were conducted under pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 plans; the CEO’s sale covered tax withholding obligations, reducing the bearish significance, but the absence of insider purchases remains a cautionary signal. Gevo insider transaction filing
Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth
Several research firms recently weighed in on GEVO. Wall Street Zen raised shares of Gevo from a “strong sell” rating to a “sell” rating in a research note on Saturday. Zacks Research raised shares of Gevo from a “strong sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a research report on Tuesday, July 7th. Northland Securities set a $3.75 price target on shares of Gevo in a research note on Thursday, July 16th. HC Wainwright reissued a “buy” rating on shares of Gevo in a research report on Tuesday, May 26th. Finally, UBS Group restated a “neutral” rating and set a $2.00 price objective (down from $2.25) on shares of Gevo in a research note on Friday, May 22nd. Two research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, two have given a Hold rating and one has given a Sell rating to the stock. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, the stock presently has a consensus rating of “Hold” and an average price target of $2.88.
Insider Buying and Selling at Gevo
In other Gevo news, Director Patrick R. Gruber sold 247,642 shares of the stock in a transaction dated Thursday, August 6th. The shares were sold at an average price of $1.51, for a total transaction of $373,939.42. Following the sale, the director directly owned 3,323,788 shares in the company, valued at $5,018,919.88. This represents a 6.93% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which is available at the SEC website. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. Also, COO Christopher Michael Ryan sold 35,196 shares of the stock in a transaction that occurred on Friday, June 12th. The stock was sold at an average price of $1.43, for a total transaction of $50,330.28. Following the sale, the chief operating officer owned 1,279,245 shares in the company, valued at $1,829,320.35. This represents a 2.68% decrease in their position. The disclosure for this sale is available in the SEC filing. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. The sale was made to cover tax withholding obligations related to the vesting of equity awards. Insiders have sold 1,067,030 shares of company stock worth $1,691,411 over the last quarter. Company insiders own 7.09% of the company’s stock.
Hedge Funds Weigh In On Gevo
A number of institutional investors have recently modified their holdings of GEVO. Virtu Financial LLC bought a new stake in shares of Gevo during the 4th quarter worth $203,000. Invesco Ltd. grew its position in Gevo by 41.3% in the fourth quarter. Invesco Ltd. now owns 5,878,866 shares of the energy company’s stock valued at $11,758,000 after acquiring an additional 1,719,381 shares during the last quarter. Corient Private Wealth LLC raised its stake in Gevo by 83.0% during the fourth quarter. Corient Private Wealth LLC now owns 20,950 shares of the energy company’s stock worth $42,000 after acquiring an additional 9,500 shares in the last quarter. XTX Topco Ltd acquired a new position in Gevo during the fourth quarter worth about $164,000. Finally, Millennium Management LLC lifted its holdings in shares of Gevo by 20.1% in the fourth quarter. Millennium Management LLC now owns 87,864 shares of the energy company’s stock worth $176,000 after acquiring an additional 14,679 shares during the last quarter. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 35.17% of the company’s stock.
About Gevo
Gevo, Inc (NASDAQ: GEVO) is a renewable chemicals and biofuels company that develops and produces low-carbon alternatives to petroleum-based products. The company’s core technology platform converts fermentable sugars into isobutanol, which can be further processed into sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), renewable gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. Gevo’s integrated biorefinery model combines fermentation, recovery, and downstream processing to deliver scalable, drop-in replacements for conventional fossil-derived hydrocarbons.
Gevo’s primary products include isobutanol, a four-carbon alcohol used as a building block for various fuels and chemicals, and hydrocarbon fuels that meet ASTM specifications for aviation and road transport.
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