Roth Capital Issues Pessimistic Forecast for AGO Earnings

Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE:AGO) – Equities researchers at Roth Capital lowered their Q2 2025 earnings per share estimates for Assured Guaranty in a research report issued on Friday, February 28th. Roth Capital analyst H. Fong now anticipates that the financial services provider will earn $1.58 per share for the quarter, down from their previous forecast of $1.62. The consensus estimate for Assured Guaranty’s current full-year earnings is $7.30 per share. Roth Capital also issued estimates for Assured Guaranty’s Q3 2025 earnings at $1.66 EPS, Q1 2026 earnings at $1.63 EPS, Q2 2026 earnings at $1.78 EPS and Q4 2026 earnings at $1.97 EPS.

A number of other research firms have also commented on AGO. StockNews.com raised Assured Guaranty from a “sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a research note on Wednesday, November 13th. UBS Group increased their price objective on shares of Assured Guaranty from $87.00 to $95.00 and gave the stock a “neutral” rating in a report on Monday, November 18th. Finally, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods raised their price objective on shares of Assured Guaranty from $92.00 to $105.00 and gave the company an “outperform” rating in a research report on Monday, November 18th.

Assured Guaranty Stock Down 3.2 %

Shares of AGO opened at $86.90 on Monday. The business’s 50 day simple moving average is $91.05 and its 200-day simple moving average is $86.87. Assured Guaranty has a one year low of $72.57 and a one year high of $96.50. The company has a market capitalization of $4.42 billion, a P/E ratio of 6.75 and a beta of 1.11. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29, a current ratio of 0.91 and a quick ratio of 0.91.

Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO) last announced its quarterly earnings results on Thursday, February 27th. The financial services provider reported $1.27 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $1.34 by ($0.07). The firm had revenue of $199.00 million for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $199.56 million. Assured Guaranty had a net margin of 70.37% and a return on equity of 11.58%.

Assured Guaranty Increases Dividend

The company also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Wednesday, March 19th. Shareholders of record on Wednesday, March 5th will be issued a dividend of $0.34 per share. This is a boost from Assured Guaranty’s previous quarterly dividend of $0.31. This represents a $1.36 annualized dividend and a yield of 1.57%. The ex-dividend date is Wednesday, March 5th. Assured Guaranty’s payout ratio is currently 19.94%.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

A number of large investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in AGO. River Road Asset Management LLC raised its stake in shares of Assured Guaranty by 67.4% during the fourth quarter. River Road Asset Management LLC now owns 1,116,131 shares of the financial services provider’s stock worth $100,463,000 after buying an additional 449,310 shares during the last quarter. Reinhart Partners LLC. lifted its stake in shares of Assured Guaranty by 2.9% in the 4th quarter. Reinhart Partners LLC. now owns 1,005,784 shares of the financial services provider’s stock valued at $90,531,000 after purchasing an additional 28,026 shares during the period. AQR Capital Management LLC boosted its position in shares of Assured Guaranty by 1.4% in the 4th quarter. AQR Capital Management LLC now owns 997,622 shares of the financial services provider’s stock worth $89,796,000 after purchasing an additional 13,552 shares during the last quarter. Royce & Associates LP grew its stake in shares of Assured Guaranty by 0.9% during the fourth quarter. Royce & Associates LP now owns 990,193 shares of the financial services provider’s stock worth $89,127,000 after purchasing an additional 9,062 shares during the period. Finally, Principal Financial Group Inc. increased its holdings in Assured Guaranty by 0.3% in the third quarter. Principal Financial Group Inc. now owns 926,415 shares of the financial services provider’s stock valued at $73,670,000 after purchasing an additional 2,953 shares during the last quarter. 92.22% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.

Assured Guaranty Company Profile

Assured Guaranty Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Insurance and Asset Management. The company offers financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments.