Nebius Group (NASDAQ:NBIS) Stock Falls 16.8% – Time to Sell?

Shares of Nebius Group N.V. (NASDAQ:NBIS) were down 16.8% on Thursday. The company traded as low as $118.81 and last traded at $128.64. 68,389,068 shares were traded during trading, an increase of 266% from the average session volume of 18,690,281 shares. The stock had previously closed at $154.69.

Key Stories Impacting Nebius Group

These are some of the NBIS stories that stood out recently:

• Positive Sentiment: Third-quarter revenue rose 571% year over year to $980.8 million, ahead of expectations, while adjusted EBITDA reached $465.8 million and adjusted net income was $90.9 million. Management says AI demand remains strong. Reuters article
• Neutral Sentiment: The 2027 revenue outlook is $12 billion–$13 billion, broadly around analyst expectations. That supports the longer-term growth story, though delivery will depend on expanding infrastructure as planned. 2027 outlook article
• Negative Sentiment: Nebius lowered its 2026 revenue guidance to $3.0 billion–$3.4 billion, with management citing delays at third-party data centers that push some capacity into the first half of 2027. The new range’s upper end matches the prior consensus, but its lower end is below it—raising concerns about near-term growth delivery. The Motley Fool article

Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth

Several equities research analysts have issued reports on NBIS shares. Rothschild & Co Redburn initiated coverage on Nebius Group in a report on Monday, September 21st. They set a “sell” rating and a $84.00 price target for the company. William Blair began coverage on shares of Nebius Group in a report on Wednesday, September 30th. They issued an “outperform” rating on the stock. Piper Sandler dropped their price objective on shares of Nebius Group from $237.00 to $185.00 and set a “neutral” rating on the stock in a research report on Wednesday, October 21st. BNP Paribas Exane upgraded shares of Nebius Group from a “neutral” rating to an “outperform” rating and raised their target price for the stock from $260.00 to $399.00 in a research note on Thursday, September 24th. Finally, Weiss Ratings downgraded shares of Nebius Group from a “sell (d+)” rating to a “sell (d)” rating in a report on Friday, October 30th. Four research analysts have rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, eleven have given a Buy rating, four have given a Hold rating and two have issued a Sell rating to the company’s stock. According to MarketBeat.com, the stock has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average price target of $246.00.

Nebius Group Stock Down 16.8%

The firm has a 50-day moving average price of $198.00 and a 200 day moving average price of $178.40. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.82, a current ratio of 4.03 and a quick ratio of 4.03. The company has a market cap of $32.55 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of -4,286.57 and a beta of 4.63.

Nebius Group (NASDAQ:NBIS) last released its quarterly earnings results on Thursday, August 13th. The company reported ($0.12) earnings per share for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of ($0.67) by $0.55. The business had revenue of $582.30 million during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $567.91 million. Nebius Group had a negative return on equity of 6.03% and a net margin of 4.55%. The firm’s revenue for the quarter was up 454% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same period last year, the firm posted $2.38 EPS. Sell-side analysts predict that Nebius Group N.V. will post -3.19 EPS for the current year.

Insider Transactions at Nebius Group

In other Nebius Group news, Director Wilson Boynton sold 7,260 shares of the stock in a transaction on Thursday, October 15th. The stock was sold at an average price of $177.63, for a total transaction of $1,289,593.80. Following the transaction, the director owned 403,522 shares in the company, valued at $71,677,612.86. This trade represents a 1.77% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available at this hyperlink. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. Also, CTO Danila Shtan sold 14,546 shares of Nebius Group stock in a transaction on Thursday, October 1st. The stock was sold at an average price of $234.16, for a total value of $3,406,091.36. Following the sale, the chief technology officer directly owned 260,217 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $60,932,412.72. This represents a 5.29% decrease in their position. The SEC filing for this sale provides additional information. Over the last quarter, insiders acquired 1,718 shares of company stock worth $280,207 and sold 158,823 shares worth $38,168,832.

Institutional Trading of Nebius Group

Hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently bought and sold shares of the business. BlackRock Inc. grew its position in shares of Nebius Group by 16.0% during the 2nd quarter. BlackRock Inc. now owns 11,531,270 shares of the company’s stock worth $3,184,591,000 after purchasing an additional 1,593,684 shares in the last quarter. Situational Awareness LP acquired a new stake in shares of Nebius Group in the second quarter valued at approximately $1,232,895,000. State Street Corp boosted its stake in shares of Nebius Group by 16.2% in the second quarter. State Street Corp now owns 4,069,875 shares of the company’s stock valued at $1,123,977,000 after buying an additional 568,415 shares during the period. Jennison Associates LLC boosted its stake in shares of Nebius Group by 134.3% in the second quarter. Jennison Associates LLC now owns 3,983,899 shares of the company’s stock valued at $1,100,233,000 after buying an additional 2,283,676 shares during the period. Finally, Accel Leaders 4 Associates L.P. acquired a new stake in Nebius Group during the second quarter worth approximately $1,012,097,322. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 21.90% of the company’s stock.

About Nebius Group

Nebius Group is a technology company focused on building infrastructure for artificial intelligence. Its core business, Nebius, offers cloud computing services and access to accelerated computing resources designed to help developers and organizations train and run AI models. The company also has businesses in areas including data services for AI, autonomous mobility and online education. Based in Amsterdam, Nebius serves customers internationally and is developing data center and computing capacity to support its AI cloud services.